Is India’s growling tiger of an economy headed for trouble?
“The tiger is under grave threat,” Palaniappan Chidambaram, India's finance minister, warned in a Feb. 29 speech on the country’s budget. Chidambaram was referring to the big, orange-and-black-striped cats that prowl the Indian countryside, and whose numbers are in decline. But he might as well have been discussing India’s economy, which has grown at an average annual rate of 9 percent since 2004 but slowed to 7.9 percent during the three months that ended in June – a trend that is expected to continue into the next fiscal year.
Have the bears overtaken India’s roaring bull market? Economists aren’t sure yet, and government officials are loathe to acknowledge any sign that the country’s gross domestic product is slipping. That is understandable, given that just last spring, the Indian economy appeared unstoppable. But in less than six months, India’s growth has slowed dramatically, stocks are down 60 percent and global investors have taken flight.
This tailspin has left the country dazed, particularly the business sector, which has begun to blame the ruling multiparty government for failing to adopt reforms in time to stave off the looming economic crisis.
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